Register
Risks
7 open, ranked by exposure.
| Risk | Probability | Impact | Exposure | Response | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equipment lead times run 22 to 30 weeksA long lead item slipping moves Chicago commissioning and the Phase 1 gate with it. | 4 | 4 | 16 | Mitigate | 13 days late |
Hiring 34 people in two markets at onceA shortfall in either city delays qualification of both hubs, because each depends on the other. | 4 | 3 | 12 | Mitigate | 2026-09-10 |
Working capital for raw material inventoryHub production requires 1921 to carry inventory the contract manufacturers used to carry. | 3 | 4 | 12 | Transfer | 2026-09-24 |
Single retail partner carries most committed volumeA change in their order pattern changes the entire capacity case. | 2 | 5 | 10 | Accept | 2026-10-08 |
Transition gap during a retail seasonMoving volume off an incumbent before the receiving hub is qualified risks a supply gap. | 2 | 5 | 10 | Avoid | 2026-11-05 |
Certification and scale compete for the same quality staffThe people carrying the ISO 9001 audit are the people qualifying the second line. | 3 | 3 | 9 | Not decided | Not scheduled |
Oklahoma incentive package is not yet awardedThe Phase 3 case is materially better with it, and building the budget on it would be a guess. | 3 | 3 | 9 | Accept | 2026-10-22 |
How to read this
- Probability
- How likely the risk is, scored 1 to 5. 1 is rare, 5 is near certain. Unscored risks say so rather than defaulting to a middle value.
- Impact
- How much damage it would do if it happened, scored 1 to 5 on the same scale.
- Exposure
- Probability multiplied by impact, so the range is 1 to 25. The register is ranked by it, and 15 and above is printed in rust because that is the line where a risk earns a conversation.
- Response
- The chosen strategy: avoid, transfer, mitigate, accept, or escalate. Not decided is shown as itself rather than as an empty cell.
- Review
- The date this risk is next due to be re-examined. Past that date it reads as days late, because an unreviewed register goes stale quietly.